¶.In my humble opinion, the answers are quite clear why Lao PDR government want (push) to build Xayabury Dam desperately.
Economic decision:
(a). To bring income in ( in the form of export).
(b). Building dam is one of our COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES.
[ Base on our geographical landscape, due to strong current, amount of rain that we receive yearly and as you know Laos is surrounded by high mountains we can be quite clear that our country is RICH with kinetic energy.In other words, Laos can produce electricity at the LOWEST MARGINAL COST. If we do not do what we do the best what can we do?
Having abundant kinetic energy is a gift from God. All of this is money...money and money.
Why don't we convert this abundant kinetic energy into a cash?]
(c). Building as many dams as possible can give our government a hand
or a big lift to get our people out of poverty by 2020. It is feasible and a good economic strategy.
(d)In life time of the dam (Use Calculus,Present Value Equation), the investment would yield a high rate of return. Thus, this is safe and sound investment and the project should be undertaken.
(e).Building a dam would pave the wave for other economic development
as well. This is good for other investment climate.
(f).Building a dam would create more jobs and create a BIGGER KEYNESIAN
MULTIPLIER. When Keynesian multiplier is bigger, consumption function would be also bigger ( positive correlation). When these two significant
determinant factors are bigger, GDP would shift outward.i.e we are richer.
☼ We can watch neither a frog nor a butter fly when our stomach is empty.
In this fierce battle, job always should come first. We do not care what Vietnamese
or the Thailander say. It is their problem.
(g). To set Laos as battery of South East Asia as original plant being implemented by PDR government. I think we are on the right path and should keep going on.
Political decision.
(a).If China can build them (Four dams or eight dams) on the Mekong
River, why Laos can't? Where is fair and equity here?
(b).Laos is an independent and sovereign state. We do what we have to do
to protect our ECONOMIC INTEREST. We are tire of being pushed around
by Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia.
(c).If we are stronger ECONOMICALLY (by building a dam), we are also
stronger politically. Having said that I do mean our NATIONAL
SECURITY would be stronger in that equation. This is what Vietnam
and Thailand do not want to see. They want to take control over Laos
forever.
(d).It is a trade off between job (life) and environment. Which one should come first? In PDR Constitution, Lao people are the owner of the country (ປະຊາຊົນເປັນເຈົ້າ). If ປະຊາຊົນເປັນເຈົ້າ should we protect the quality of life of the people first by providing job and income or we have to protect the environment? If we the government decide to protect the ENVIRONMENT, by this legal definition, the environment is ເປັນເຈົ້າ, not ປະຊາຊົນ.
On this thorny issue, I would say HE Choumaly is walking on tight rob.
Despite of pro and con, he has to do what is RIGHT and the BEST for the country given the current socio-economic condition of our country. I personally support this project wholeheartedly. By building this dam, Lao
people are the BIG WINNER (in the long run).
Benefit-cost analysis.
Base on mathematical equation, Caculus: Present Value Formula , building a dam the benefit would outweigh the cost, therefore, the project would be undertaken.
¶.In my humble opinion, the answers are quite clear why Lao PDR government want (push) to build Xayabury Dam desperately.
Economic decision:
(a). To bring income in ( in the form of export).
(b). Building dam is one of our COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES.
[ Base on our geographical landscape, due to strong current, amount of rain that we receive yearly and as you know Laos is surrounded by high mountains we can be quite clear that our country is RICH with kinetic energy.In other words, Laos can produce electricity at the LOWEST MARGINAL COST. If we do not do what we do the best what can we do?
Having abundant kinetic energy is a gift from God. All of this is money...money and money.
Why don't we convert this abundant kinetic energy into a cash?]
(c). Building as many dams as possible can give our government a hand
or a big lift to get our people out of poverty by 2020. It is feasible and a good economic strategy.
(d)In life time of the dam (Use Calculus,Present Value Equation), the investment would yield a high rate of return. Thus, this is safe and sound investment and the project should be undertaken.
(e).Building a dam would pave the wave for other economic development
as well. This is good for other investment climate.
(f).Building a dam would create more jobs and create a BIGGER KEYNESIAN
MULTIPLIER. When Keynesian multiplier is bigger, consumption function would be also bigger ( positive correlation). When these two significant
determinant factors are bigger, GDP would shift outward.i.e we are richer.
☼ We can watch neither a frog nor a butter fly when our stomach is empty.
In this fierce battle, job always should come first. We do not care what Vietnamese
or the Thailander say. It is their problem.
(g). To set Laos as battery of South East Asia as original plant being implemented by PDR government. I think we are on the right path and should keep going on.
Political decision.
(a).If China can build them (Four dams or eight dams) on the Mekong
River, why Laos can't? Where is fair and equity here?
(b).Laos is an independent and sovereign state. We do what we have to do
to protect our ECONOMIC INTEREST. We are tire of being pushed around
by Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia.
(c).If we are stronger ECONOMICALLY (by building a dam), we are also
stronger politically. Having said that I do mean our NATIONAL
SECURITY would be stronger in that equation. This is what Vietnam
and Thailand do not want to see. They want to take control over Laos
forever.
(d).It is a trade off between job (life) and environment. Which one should come first? In PDR Constitution, Lao people are the owner of the country (ປະຊາຊົນເປັນເຈົ້າ). If ປະຊາຊົນເປັນເຈົ້າ should we protect the quality of life of the people first by providing job and income or we have to protect the environment? If we the government decide to protect the ENVIRONMENT, by this legal definition, the environment is ເປັນເຈົ້າ, not ປະຊາຊົນ.
On this thorny issue, I would say HE Choumaly is walking on tight rob.
Despite of pro and con, he has to do what is RIGHT and the BEST for the country given the current socio-economic condition of our country. I personally support this project wholeheartedly. By building this dam, Lao
people are the BIG WINNER (in the long run).
Benefit-cost analysis.
Base on mathematical equation, Caculus: Present Value Formula , building a dam the benefit would outweigh the cost, therefore, the project would be undertaken.
Pra. Anon.
ACCORDING TO AMERICA, THE THAI PUT THE MONEY TO BUILD THE DAM. 95% DOLLAR WILL GO BACK TO THAILAND LAOS WILL GET ONLY 5% WHAT BENEFIT THEY ARE TALKING ABOUT ?
It is perplexing why the Lao government chooses to enter a political landmine that is the Xayabouly Dam. Neighbouring countries, the Mekong River Commission and NGO such as the World Wildlife Fund all recommend a ten years moratorium on building dam on the Lower Mekong River. Laos still has many dams that can be built on the Mekong's tributaries without this much political hassle. The Xayabouly Dam lacks environmental assessment that bases on good science. The ten years delay would certainly allows more time for thorough scientific studies to be completed on the impact of such dam.
This project is pure greed. Some people in Laos are making quick money that is why the process is full of lie, deceit and duplicity. The thing is, if this dam is good for the people of Laos, has minimal environmental impact and is sustainable then the fund for building this dam and other main stream mekong dams will be readily available through funding from the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, China or even the United States. However, the lust of wealth has all but clouded good judgement regarding this project and if things go badly, then this will be the last dam on the Lower Mekong River and eventually a call of its dismantle will be heard from the people lliving in the Lower Mekong Region.
ACCORDING TO AMERICA, THE THAI PUT THE MONEY TO BUILD THE DAM. 95% DOLLAR WILL GO BACK TO THAILAND LAOS WILL GET ONLY 5% WHAT BENEFIT THEY ARE TALKING ABOUT ?
