Analysis: Riparian nations are meeting in Siem Reap, with wider implications for Laos' relationship with downstream countries at stake as well as the future of a controversial dam project
Laos' relations with Thailand and other downstream countries in the Mekong River will be tested when their ministers meet with the future of the Xayaburi dam project at stake.
Members of the Network of Thai People representing eight Mekong provinces rally in Nong Khai yesterday to protest against the proposed Xayaburi dam upstream in Laos.
Laos will attend the three-day Mekong River Commission (MRC) Council meeting starting today in Siem Reap with confidence that the landlocked country can convince other MRC members _ Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam _ to back the project after completion of the consultation process.
"Laos will make sure that this dam will not impact countries in the lower Mekong River basin," the Vientiane Times newspaper quoted Lao Deputy Minister of Energy and Mines Viraphon Viravong as saying on Thursday.
Thailand has signalled its support for the project but distanced itself from environmental and ecological consequences should they occur after the dam's construction.
Thai backing was not surprising given the benefits of the project to Thailand, said Adisorn Semyaem, an analyst at the Institute of Asian Studies, Chulalongkorn University.
The Xayaburi dam will churn out 1,260 megawatts of electricity, 95% of which will be sold to the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand. Ch Karnchang Plc is responsible for the construction.
"With the commitment to Thailand, there is no way for Laos to turn back," Mr Adisorn said.
The project was deferred in the MRC meeting on April 19 for further study.
Failure to get the green light for the project from other MRC members this time could send a negative signal to other foreign investors eyeing further dam projects in Laos, he added.
The main stumbling block for Laos is not the Thai government. Hanoi and Phnom Penh have cried foul about the project for fear of the impact downstream, especially on the fertile agricultural land in the Mekong Delta in southern Vietnam.
The ruling Lao People's Revolutionary Party has close ties with the Communist Party of Vietnam and the People's Party led by Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen.
Laos has dismissed concerns about insufficient flow of water downstream as a result of the proposed dam. But Cambodia and Vietnam are still worried about the impact of the project on their rice basket in the delta.
Laos' success in pushing for the Xayaburi dam project to go ahead at the meeting could have an effect on relations with its Indochina allies, especially Vietnam, said Mr Adisorn.
"Vietnam will not be happy with the project approval. It will have impacts on Lao-Vietnamese relations to some extent," he added.
But Mr Adisorn predicted that "Laos will do everything to get it going", despite calls from Cambodia and Vietnam to put the project on hold.
Another stumbling block for Laos is strong opposition from regional and international environmentalists and ecologists who fear approval of the Xayaburi dam project will set off a race between MRC members to build 10 more dams on the Mekong River, adding to the ecological impacts.
Ahead of the Siem Reap meeting, the Save the Mekong Coalition even ran full-page adverts in several Thai and Cambodian newspapers opposing the project.
The umbrella of 39 civic groups is urging Thailand, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam to scrap the project for good.
"Our message is simple: Protecting the Mekong River is vital to ensuring healthy fisheries, abundant agriculture and supporting the livelihoods and food security of millions of people in the region," Chhtih Sam Ath of the NGO Forum on Cambodia said.
I'm a 10000% lao, But I'm against project because you just can't build the Dam that block the flow of the Mekong River that millions of Downstream people are depending on it. And Since when lao PDR learn how to be a greedy like Chinese ?????? We have a plenty of small rivers all over the places why not do it.................
Mother nature gives balance to allow water flow along Mekong river for millions of years.
Now people want to counter balance and Mother nature will shift its balance to other ways round and man-made natural shift will result in unexpected consequence and disaster will be prevailed...flood, drought, ecological system....Livelihood of people in the upstream and downstream will be changed.
I am a Laotian, I would go ahead with the project if rigorous impact assessments are studied and enough counter measure plans and responsibility are guaranteed...
Millions, millions $ had already spent to study the project. There are negatives and positives, no question about that. The decision had already been made (no matter what) that the dam will be built, why delay, delay or postpone?
Go Laos Go ! No more delay!
Laos has got to do what Laos needs to do.
When Laos had no rice in the basket, International Rivers or any other countries or organizations does not give the damn thing about it.
Opposing countries (Vietnam and Cambodia), they need to worry about when next Tropical Storm or Typhoon will arrive.
Unusual heavy rainfall or heavy drought in region each year is major problems that no one can predict. Not a result of the dams constructed in any rivers.
I cheer and support this project wholeheartedly. It is OUR COUNTRY'S ECONOMIC INTEREST.
→Each country has different needs and wanted. Why should we listen to Cambodia and Vietnam? For one thing, Xayaburi is within our territoryintergrity or within our jurisdiction.It is our sovereignty.Don't forget that Xayaburi is not Danang or Siamriep.
By postponing this project, you let money which can be generated from kinetic energy flying away.
☼If we do not build this dam, will Vietnam and Cambodia sell rice to us with discount price or 3/5 of the retail price? I do not think so. They have their own greed. They do not want Laos to be stronger and richer than them.
What a morrally corrupted!!!!!
☼If China can do it, why not Laos? Learn how to take care Lao people first. Let them balk.
→In this case, our ECONOMIC INTEREST should override freindship. I hope to see our president to take a DECISIVE ACTION.
♫Mr. Choumaly, show us if Laos is TRUELY an INDEPENDENT COUNTRY.
I cheer and support this project wholeheartedly. It is OUR COUNTRY'S ECONOMIC INTEREST.
→Each country has different needs and wanted. Why should we listen to Cambodia and Vietnam? For one thing, Xayaburi is within our territoryintergrity or within our jurisdiction.It is our sovereignty.Don't forget that Xayaburi is not Danang or Siamriep.
By postponing this project, you let money which can be generated from kinetic energy flying away.
☼If we do not build this dam, will Vietnam and Cambodia sell rice to us with discount price or 3/5 of the retail price? I do not think so. They have their own greed. They do not want Laos to be stronger and richer than them.
What a morrally corrupted!!!!!
☼If China can do it, why not Laos? Learn how to take care Lao people first. Let them balk.
→In this case, our ECONOMIC INTEREST should override freindship. I hope to see our president to take a DECISIVE ACTION.
♫Mr. Choumaly, show us if Laos is TRUELY an INDEPENDENT COUNTRY.
From Samakhom Laonork, Fresno, California
Chairman, Laohaklao1954
YES MAN!! LET BUILT IT FOR THE SAKE OF OUR BELOVED COUNTRY!! WE LOVE LAOS FOREVER. MAKE US EVEN MORE PROUDLY TO BE KHON LAO DESPITE WE'RE NOT LIVING INSIDE LAOS!!! FROM. WE, LAO NORK U.K.
They '' the Vietnamese, Thais and Cambodian can protest all they want. But none of these MRC's mebers have no veto power. And Laos will have final say, Although considerable diplomatic presure can be exerted on it... I understand their concern, But the Dam project is situated within our territory.
Exactly, they(the protesters and the opposing countries) can go sit in the corner and cry until they eyes bleeding. The dam will be built, no matter what. It's time for us Laos to tell them:"Laos is tired of being push around.It's in our territory.We will start the construction in our choosing time" Period !!!
It's ok to build more. But make sure Lao people can use very very cheap electricity bill so they can use electric appliances, less wood burning, save the forests, and clean environment...Who ever build dam make sure they build lines to every village in Laos. And don't forget to raise more fish...
☼Because of the dispute islands of Paracels and Spratly , to protect Vietnam's economic interest Vietnam is willing to go to war against a giant panda at all cost.
→Should Laos, a tiny landlocked country, have an economic interest TOO?
→Can Laos choose her own path instead of having this monkey(Vietnam) on our back all time?
☼Base on David Ricardo's theory of COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE and due to Laos has abondance KINETIC ENERGY which Laos can use to produce electricity at the lowest marginal cost (MC) why we can not build this
dam? Why Thailand, Cambodia, or Vietnam should have a FINAL SAY for Lao
people?
☼Buddha God gave Lao people a steep mountains and a strong current running water, which is suitable to produce CHEAP ECLECTRICITY, if
we don't use it as God commands Lao people will remain to be poor.
Do what is RIGHT and the BEST for our country!!!!!
we have suffered from many tragedies and war after war for centuries. we just have a real freedom for all LAO people for the past 30years ago. we want to built our country to be more prosperous nation for our next generation. we did not have any chance for developing our country in the past. and now in this 21th century.. you all want to say NO what we really want a YES again??? LEAVE OUR MOTHER LAOS ALONE............. PLEASE...................LET US ALONE....................!!!!
I cheer and support this project wholeheartedly. It is OUR COUNTRY'S ECONOMIC INTEREST.
→Each country has different needs and wanted. Why should we listen to Cambodia and Vietnam? For one thing, Xayaburi is within our territoryintergrity or within our jurisdiction.It is our sovereignty.Don't forget that Xayaburi is not Danang or Siamriep.
By postponing this project, you let money which can be generated from kinetic energy flying away.
☼If we do not build this dam, will Vietnam and Cambodia sell rice to us with discount price or 3/5 of the retail price? I do not think so. They have their own greed. They do not want Laos to be stronger and richer than them.
What a morrally corrupted!!!!!
☼If China can do it, why not Laos? Learn how to take care Lao people first. Let them balk.
→In this case, our ECONOMIC INTEREST should override freindship. I hope to see our president to take a DECISIVE ACTION.
♫Mr. Choumaly, show us if Laos is TRUELY an INDEPENDENT COUNTRY.
From Samakhom Laonork, Fresno, California
Chairman, Laohaklao1954
YES MAN!! LET BUILT IT FOR THE SAKE OF OUR BELOVED COUNTRY!! WE LOVE LAOS FOREVER. MAKE US EVEN MORE PROUDLY TO BE KHON LAO DESPITE WE'RE NOT LIVING INSIDE LAOS!!! FROM. WE, LAO NORK U.K.
Laos has no choice but to give in to the pressure or will have to face grave consequences. Isolation that is. Can Laos cope with neighbouring countries if most of them would start being unfriendly to her ?
Hi, I'm Hu Jintao and I'm a President of China. In the past decade I've order my Government to Built 8 Major Dams block the Main-Mekong River flow. How come you stupid people Thais, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia and Burma didn't come out to protested me in the past. So what the hell have happening to you stupid people like you guys ? Why now ? you stupid people had struggle to put the food on the table everyday But keep talking about environment ? What a jok ? all you stupid people believe Whatever the white western mans tell you to do ? Didn't you stupid people knew that they the once that polluted the planet with greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide ? So please, your people still starving and hurry up get your economic level up to them..... then you all stupid people can talk about F'king environment like White man.....
Hi, I'm Hu Jintao and I'm a President of China. In the past decade I've order my Government to Built 8 Major Dams block the Main-Mekong River flow. How come you stupid people Thais, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia and Burma didn't come out to protested me in the past. So what the hell have happening to you stupid people like you guys ? Why now ? you stupid people had struggle to put the food on the table everyday But keep talking about environment ? What a jok ? all you stupid people believe Whatever the white western mans tell you to do ? Didn't you stupid people knew that they the once that polluted the planet with greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide ? So please, your people still starving and hurry up get your economic level up to them..... then you all stupid people can talk about F'king environment like White man.....
WE LOVE HU JINTAO,PEKING DUCK AND YOUR CLEVER COMMENT!!!
Vietnam and Cambodia, they simply are jealous (ອິດສາ).
I totally agree. So, let's keep going Mekong dam. I remember that Namtheun two spent almost more than 10 years and also more milluion US dollar for info dissemination and finally it perfecvtly worked. Last year I saw the Dam layout. The dam provides Navigation on the left and the dam will not block the whole river. So, I think it may not cause so badly serious impact on environment.
I like the comment of Mr. TaoJin or JinTao ((bravo mr. ຈີນແດງ President.)
To LPDR: Just ignore the critics and politely tell them that our country does not have major industry(except a couple of copper and gold mines)..and badly need to build dams and hopefully one day to become the "BATTERY" of SEAsia.
To: International Rivers: I know that's your job to doing nothing (but sitting in comfortable chair in USA)and oppose every dam's construction around the world. In this particular case, you need to take your hands off,off and off and leave Laos alone.
Your argument does not hold a water. In other words, it is political jargon and membo-jumbo statement. Can you come up with a better idea than that? Just being a membership of Mekong countries, Laos can't build a dam because most members of the Mekong countries do not give a green light.
Ha!!! Thus, Laos have to yield her sovereignty to Vietnam, Thailand, and Cambodia when these countries said "no".
Common mother Teresa!!! Leave Laos alone. These is a trade off between full stomach and friendship. Legally speaking, this ongoing battle is between environmentalist VS. economic development.
What Lao people should choose?
The logical and ethical answer would be:
a). Full stomach.
Who would win?
a). Economic development
►Those Laotians, who want to watch bird, frog or panoramic view of a beautiful landscape , should migrate to Vietnam, Thailand, or even to Cambodia.
Good luck baby.(Mr. environmentalist)
☼ I suggest the writer here to read many propositions in California;
therefore, he would have an important insight about this issue.
Vietnam and Cambodia, they simply are jealous (ອິດສາ).
I totally agree. So, let's keep going Mekong dam. I remember that Namtheun two spent almost more than 10 years and also more milluion US dollar for info dissemination and finally it perfecvtly worked. Last year I saw the Dam layout. The dam provides Navigation on the left and the dam will not block the whole river. So, I think it may not cause so badly serious impact on environment.
The reason why Vietnam so against this DAM is because they're going to compete with Thailand for Rice Exporting to other part of the world. So they need the water badly to grow rice badly.
Vietnam and Cambodia, they simply are jealous (ອິດສາ).
I totally agree. So, let's keep going Mekong dam. I remember that Namtheun two spent almost more than 10 years and also more milluion US dollar for info dissemination and finally it perfecvtly worked. Last year I saw the Dam layout. The dam provides Navigation on the left and the dam will not block the whole river. So, I think it may not cause so badly serious impact on environment.
The reason why Vietnam so against this DAM is because they're going to compete with Thailand for Rice Exporting to other part of the world. So they need the water badly to grow rice badly.
Laos and Thailand get most of the benefits while Vietnam and Cambodia are clearly the losers from this project. This is a complex issue, more details have to be worked out to satisfy all of the countries involved.
Vietnam rice export annually was worth between $2 - &3 Billions (
and Cambodians receive 75% of their protein consumption from freshwater fishes - value unknown but obviously a huge number. If Laos and Thailand want to benefit themselves by going ahead with this dam building without taking into consideration the potential losses of their 2 neighbours then who knows what those 2 countries (Viet & Cambodia) will do to protect their own interests. I can only foresee conflicts of all kinds to happen to Laos, whether political or military, peace and stability will also be gone. So, is Laos ready to pay the price ?